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* Barry Sinervo (USCS EEB) | * Barry Sinervo (USCS EEB) | ||
** '''Predicting phenology, demography and extinction risk due to climate change from ecophysiology and museum records''' | |||
::Standard species distribution models (SDM) use climate layers to determine a species "climate" niche and then project the species distribution to future time points as climate warms or dries, ''but such models do not take into account evolved physiological or | |||
ecological differences among species that might impact resistance to warm spells and / or long-term droughts''. Here I will describe the relationships between climate layers and operative thermal and hydric environments for reptiles and amphibians. I use museum occurrence records linked to published ecological data to derive a general class of models that can be used in SDM which allow for evolved changes in phenology and physiology to be incorporated in the modeling. In addition, I will describe how other ecological interactions such as competition for thermal niches can be used to model the impact of climate driven extinctions of cool-adapted taxa (e.g., montane taxa) arising from the invasion of a warm-adapted competitor (e.g., lowland taxa) that might expand its range under climate warming. I apply the models to nearly all species of reptiles and diverse amphibians of North America. | |||
* Elizabeth Martin (Doctoral student, University of Florida, School of Natural Resources and Environment (SNRE)) | * Elizabeth Martin (Doctoral student, University of Florida, School of Natural Resources and Environment (SNRE)) | ||
** '''Preliminary Results on Survey about Reuse of Species Occurrence Data and Use of Web-based Information Systems by Professionals''' | ** '''Preliminary Results on Survey about Reuse of Species Occurrence Data and Use of Web-based Information Systems by Professionals''' |